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Glossary term

False Negative

Subject: Risk Management, Risk Assessment and Quantification

Also known as: Type II error, Missed detection

A false negative is a case where a test, model or control says nothing is wrong when something actually is, so a real problem goes undetected.

Explanation

Any detection tool can be wrong in two ways. It can raise an alert where there is no problem (a false positive) or stay silent where there is one (a false negative). The second error is usually the costly one, because nobody looks further. Examples are a malware scanner passing an infected file, a screening system missing a sanctioned name with a spelling variation, a fraud model approving a stolen card, or a medical test missing a disease. Teams estimate the share of real cases that are missed, often called the miss rate, by testing on known cases. Lowering a threshold to catch more usually raises false positives and workload. The balance depends on the harm each error causes. Auditors and model validators hunt for these misses first, since each one is exposure the organisation does not know it carries.

Example

An online payments firm flags card transactions above a set amount. Auditors test the rule with 50 known fraud patterns and find that 10 of them, spread across small purchases, were never flagged. Those ten are false negatives, and the firm adds a rule that totals spending across days.

Not to be confused with

False Positive
A false positive is a wrong alert about a problem that does not exist. A false negative is a missed problem that does.

All terms beginning with F

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